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Severe Weather

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North Carolina, Inland Brunswick

Public Information Statement

Statement as of 4:50 AM EDT on May 28, 2015


... This week is National hurricane awareness week...

It is time for you to prepare for the 2015 hurricane season. The
Atlantic hurricane season begins each year on June 1st and ends
November 30th. Being prepared can make a big difference in your
ability to Cope when a storm threatens.

Todays topic is hurricane forecasting.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida forecasts the
path... speed... and strength of hurricanes. Data from weather
satellites... reconnaissance aircraft... and other sources are used in
computer forecast models.

Forecast accuracy decreases with time... the average 5 day hurricane
track error is about 210 nautical miles. The National Hurricane
Center also forecasts storm surge height and coastal flooding.

Working with the National Hurricane Center is the National Weather
Service weather prediction center... which forecasts expected
rainfall. Also... National Weather Service river forecast centers
forecast expected flooding.

Factors in longer term seasonal prediction of hurricane activity are
expected ocean temperatures and high altitude winds.

Since the mid 1990s... there has been a general upswing in annual
Atlantic hurricane activity from the long term average of about 12
named storms... 6 hurricanes and 3 intense hurricanes of at least
category 3 strength. The hurricane season outlook for this year is
a little below that long term average... with 6 to 11 named
storms... 3 to 6 hurricanes... and 0 to 2 intense hurricanes.

With the explosive increase in population and development along the
Atlantic and Gulf coasts over the last 25 years... there is potential
for hurricane destruction equal or greater than that experienced in
New Orleans in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and in the
northeast in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy in 2012.

To get the latest tropical weather forecast for the Cape Fear
region... visit our web site: weather.Gov/ilm/tropics


Weather Severe Map
Alaska - Special Statement , Record Report
Arkansas - Flood Warning , Flood Warning, Areal Flood Warning , Special Statement , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Colorado - Flood Warning , Public Information Statement
Connecticut - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Public Information Statement
Delaware - Public Information Statement
District of Columbia - Record Report
Florida - Coastal Hazard Statement , Record Report
Georgia - Public Information Statement
Idaho - Public Information Statement
Kansas - Areal Flood Warning , Flood Warning , Areal Flood Advisory, Flash Flood Watch , Flash Flood Watch , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Kentucky - Public Information Statement
Louisiana - Flood Warning , Public Information Statement
Maine - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Special Statement
Maryland - Record Report , Public Information Statement
Massachusetts - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Michigan - Flood Advisory , Record Report
Minnesota - Flood Warning , Public Information Statement
Mississippi - Flood Warning , Public Information Statement
Missouri - Flood Warning , Flash Flood Watch , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Montana - Areal Flood Warning , Flood Warning , Public Information Statement
Nebraska - Flood Warning , Areal Flood Advisory , Public Information Statement
Nevada - Public Information Statement
New Hampshire - Severe Thunderstorm Watch
New Jersey - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Public Information Statement
New York - Severe Thunderstorm Watch , Record Report , Public Information Statement
North Carolina - Public Information Statement
North Dakota - Public Information Statement
Oklahoma - Severe Thunderstorm Warning , Flash Flood Warning , Flash Flood Warning, Areal Flood Warning , Flash Flood Warning, Areal Flood Warning , Flood Warning , Flash Flood Watch , Areal Flood Advisory, Flash Flood Watch , Areal Flood Advisory , Special Statement , Public Information Statement
Pennsylvania - Record Report , Public Information Statement
Rhode Island - Severe Thunderstorm Watch
South Carolina - Public Information Statement
South Dakota - Flood Warning
Tennessee - Public Information Statement
Texas - Flood Warning , Flood Warning, Areal Flood Warning , Areal Flood Warning , Flood Warning, Flash Flood Warning , Flash Flood Warning , Flash Flood Watch , Public Information Statement
Utah - Record Report , Public Information Statement
Vermont - Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Virginia - Record Report
West Virginia - Record Report
Wyoming - Flood Warning , Special Statement , Record Report
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